Hong Kong's monetary policy objective is to maintain
currency stability. Given the highly externally oriented nature
of the Hong Kong economy, this objective is further defined as a
stable external value of the currency of Hong Kong, in terms of
its exchange rate in the foreign exchange market against the US
dollar at around HK$7.80 to US$1. This clear monetary policy objective
is achieved through the linked exchange rate system, which was introduced
in October 1983 after a nine-year period during which the Hong Kong
dollar floated and the exchange rate was volatile.
The linked exchange rate system is characterised
by currency board arrangements, requiring the Hong Kong dollar monetary
base to be at least 100 per cent backed by, and changes in it to
be 100 per cent matched by corresponding changes in US dollar reserves
held in the Exchange Fund at the fixed exchange rate of HK$7.80
to US$1. In Hong Kong, the monetary base includes the amount of
currency notes and coins issued, the Aggregate Balance (the sum
of the clearing balances of banks held with the HKMA for the purpose
of effecting the clearing and settlement of transactions between
banks themselves and also between the HKMA and banks), and the outstanding
amount of Exchange Fund Bills and Notes.
Since the inception of the linked exchange rate
system in October 1983, note-issuing banks are required to hold
Certificates of Indebtedness (CIs) issued by the Exchange Fund to
provide backing for bank note issuance. The issuance and redemption
of CIs are made against US dollars at the convertibility rate of
HK$7.80 to US$1 for the account of the Exchange Fund. Similarly,
the issue and withdrawal of government-issued currency notes and
coins in circulation are conducted against US dollars at the fixed
exchange rate of 7.80.
When the linked exchange rate system was introduced
in October 1983, there was no institutional arrangement whereby
banks in Hong Kong maintained clearing accounts with the currency
board. Thus, that part of the monetary base represented by the clearing
balances of the banking system was initially not subject to the
discipline imposed by a currency board system. Action was taken
to correct this in 1988 through arrangements that required the Management
Bank of the Clearing House of the Hong Kong Association of Banks
(HKAB) to maintain a clearing account with the Government's then
Monetary Affairs Branch for the account of the Exchange Fund. This
was replaced by another arrangement, when the RTGS system was introduced
for interbank transactions in Hong Kong towards the end of 1996.
Since then, all licensed banks have had to maintain direct clearing
accounts with the Exchange Fund.
By assuming responsibility for the interbank clearing
system, the HKMA also became responsible for the provision of lending
to any banks experiencing day-to-day shortages of liquidity. A Liquidity
Adjustment Facility (LAF) was set up in 1992 for this purpose. This
was replaced in September 1998 by the Discount Window arrangement
under which banks have unrestricted access to day-end liquidity
through repurchase agreements using Exchange Fund Bills and Notes
as collateral. A two-tier structure of Discount Rates has been adopted
to ensure that interest rates are adequately responsive to capital
flows, while avoiding excessive interest rate volatility if liquidity
shortages are only modest.
Under the currency board system, Hong Kong dollar
exchange rate stability is maintained through an interest rate adjustment
mechanism. The monetary base increases when the foreign currency
(in Hong Kong's case, US dollars) to which the domestic currency
is linked, is sold to the currency board for the domestic currency
(inflow into the Hong Kong dollar). It contracts when the foreign
currency is bought from the currency board (outflow from the Hong
Kong dollar). The expansion or contraction in the monetary base
leads interest rates for the domestic currency to fall or rise,
respectively, creating the monetary conditions that automatically
counteract the original capital movements, ensuring stability of
the exchange rate.
Under the present arrangement, the HKMA undertakes
to convert the Hong Kong dollar balances held by banks into US dollars
at the convertibility rate of 7.80. However, there is no explicit
convertibility undertaking on the strong side of the linked rate.
This arrangement is considered optimal mainly because the constructive
ambiguity on the strong side helps deter speculative pressures against
the Hong Kong dollar on the weak side by making it difficult for
speculators to calculate the cost of shorting the Hong Kong dollar.
This arrangement increases the resilience of the system to weak-side
pressures, thereby improving the sustainability of the system as
a whole. In choosing the exact level of the exchange rate to sell
the Hong Kong dollar, the HKMA has mainly responded to bank offers
of the US dollar in a passive manner. Nevertheless, when there are
strong speculative pressures or the exchange rate appreciates sharply,
a proactive approach is adopted to counter possible strategic behaviour
of large market players, and to provide an anchor for the exchange
rate.
To strengthen the institutional framework for
the operation of the currency board system in Hong Kong, a Sub-committee
on Currency Board Operations was established under the Exchange
Fund Advisory Committee (EFAC) in August 1998. The sub-committee
has been entrusted with the responsibility of overseeing the operation
of the currency board system in Hong Kong and may, where appropriate,
recommend to the Financial Secretary through the EFAC measures to
enhance the robustness and effectiveness of Hong Kong's currency
board arrangements.
The HKMA pursues a policy of transparency to ensure
that the financial industry and the wider public are fully informed
of the currency board operations. To this end, the Aggregate Balance
and forecast changes to the Aggregate Balance attributable to the
currency board's foreign exchange transactions are disclosed on
a real-time basis. In addition, the size of the monetary base and
its components are published on a daily basis, while the Currency
Board Account is published on a monthly basis. The records of the
meetings of the Sub-committee on Currency Board Operations are also
published within six weeks of each meeting.
The Government is fully committed to the maintenance
of the linked exchange rate system, which is a cornerstone of Hong
Kong's monetary and financial stability, and to the strict discipline
of the currency board arrangement under that system. |